Where and when is SS Reyes vs Real Ávila played?

SS Reyes vs Real Ávila is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SS Reyes vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes

SS Reyes

Real Ávila

The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate SS Reyes (1,987) and Real Ávila (1,889).

SS Reyes win54 %

Draw26 %

Real Ávila win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Real Ávila have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SS Reyes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Baleares(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	UD Logroñés(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026	UD Logroñés(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026	Alcoyano(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Alcoyano(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

Real Ávila
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 SS Reyes win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Ávila win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2024	SS Reyes 2-1 Real Ávila	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: SS Reyes vs Real Ávila on Aug 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SS Reyes	1.3	0.9	5	7/15	6/15
Real Ávila	1.6	1.7	5	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	SS Reyes	34	21	7	6	51	27	70

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?: The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Ávila.
Where and when is SS Reyes vs Real Ávila played?: SS Reyes vs Real Ávila is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.