Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,885) and Gimnástica Segoviana (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Guadalajara win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2024 | Gimnástica Segoviana 2-0 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Guadalajara 1-1 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 7, 2023 | Guadalajara 3-1 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Gimnástica Segoviana 2-1 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Guadalajara on Mar 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 60 | 22 | 74 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
- The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
- Where and when is Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
- Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.