Where and when is Getafe II vs Numancia played?

Getafe II vs Numancia is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Getafe II vs Numancia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, Getafe

Getafe II

Numancia

The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Getafe II vs Numancia?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Getafe II (1,902) and Numancia (1,943).

Getafe II win41 %

Draw28 %

Numancia win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Getafe II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	CF Talavera(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	UD Logroñés(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	UD Logroñés(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Orihuela(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Numancia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Poblense(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Poblense(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Marino de Luanco(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Langreo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Getafe II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Numancia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 18, 2025	Numancia 0-1 Getafe II	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 11, 2025	Getafe II 0-2 Numancia	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
Mar 10, 2024	Getafe II 0-3 Numancia	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 29, 2023	Numancia 1-1 Getafe II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Numancia vs Getafe II on May 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Getafe II	1.3	1.0	6	5/15	7/15
Numancia	1.3	0.9	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Getafe II	34	16	9	9	55	35	57

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Getafe II vs Numancia?: The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Numancia.
Where and when is Getafe II vs Numancia played?: Getafe II vs Numancia is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.