Match

SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 31Kick-off on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Donaustadion, Ulm

SSV Ulm 1846Freiburg II

The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II?

Freiburg II starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,918 vs 1,775).

SSV Ulm 1846 win27 %
Draw22 %
Freiburg II win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Ulm 1846 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Freiburg II have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SSV Ulm 1846
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 14, 2026Kickers Offenbach(home)0-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 7, 2026Stuttgarter Kickers(away)2-4Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Stuttgart II(home)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Freiburg II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stuttgarter Kickers(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026Hessen Kassel(home)5-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 25, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026FC Schaffhausen(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 SSV Ulm 1846 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Freiburg II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2024Freiburg II 1-2 SSV Ulm 18463. Liga
Nov 25, 2023SSV Ulm 1846 2-1 Freiburg II3. Liga
May 26, 2021Freiburg II 3-0 SSV Ulm 1846Regionalliga - SudWest
Jan 9, 2021SSV Ulm 1846 2-0 Freiburg IIRegionalliga - SudWest
Oct 26, 2019SSV Ulm 1846 1-3 Freiburg IIRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Freiburg II vs SSV Ulm 1846 on Apr 28, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SSV Ulm 18461.32.1110/159/15
Freiburg II2.51.7311/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th in Regionalliga - SudWest (1 points from 3 matches) and Freiburg II sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Freiburg II3120845
17SSV Ulm 18463012481

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II?
The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for SSV Ulm 1846.
Where and when is SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II played?
SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II is played on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Donaustadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SSV Ulm 1846 and Freiburg II

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