SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 31Kick-off on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Donaustadion, Ulm
The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II?
Freiburg II starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,918 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Ulm 1846 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Freiburg II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 SSV Ulm 1846 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Freiburg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Freiburg II 1-2 SSV Ulm 1846 | 3. Liga |
| Nov 25, 2023 | SSV Ulm 1846 2-1 Freiburg II | 3. Liga |
| May 26, 2021 | Freiburg II 3-0 SSV Ulm 1846 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SSV Ulm 1846 2-0 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 26, 2019 | SSV Ulm 1846 1-3 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Freiburg II vs SSV Ulm 1846 on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th in Regionalliga - SudWest (1 points from 3 matches) and Freiburg II sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II?
- The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for SSV Ulm 1846.
- Where and when is SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II played?
- SSV Ulm 1846 vs Freiburg II is played on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Donaustadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 4, 2027SV SandhausenvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- May 4, 2027VfR AalenvsStuttgarter Kickers
- May 4, 2027FSV FrankfurtvsTSV Steinbach
- May 4, 2027FC Astoria WalldorfvsSGV Freiberg
- May 4, 2027Eintracht TriervsFC 08 Homburg
- May 4, 2027Kickers OffenbachvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- May 4, 2027Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsHessen Kassel
- May 4, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsVfR Mannheim