Where and when is Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg played?

Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg is played on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Moselstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 31Kick-off on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Moselstadion, Trier

Eintracht Trier

FC 08 Homburg

The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Eintracht Trier. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg?

FC 08 Homburg starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,888).

Eintracht Trier win25 %

Draw23 %

FC 08 Homburg win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Trier have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC 08 Homburg have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eintracht Trier
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	0-6	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	VfR Mannheim(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 2, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Ahrweiler(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

FC 08 Homburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Sandhausen(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	FSV Mainz 05 II(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Reutlingen(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Eintracht Trier win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC 08 Homburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 21, 2026	FC 08 Homburg 1-2 Eintracht Trier	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 17, 2025	Eintracht Trier 2-0 FC 08 Homburg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Nov 23, 2024	FC 08 Homburg 0-1 Eintracht Trier	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2024	Eintracht Trier 4-1 FC 08 Homburg	Regionalliga - SudWest
May 12, 2023	Eintracht Trier 1-4 FC 08 Homburg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Nov 5, 2022	FC 08 Homburg 1-1 Eintracht Trier	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier on Apr 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Eintracht Trier score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Eintracht Trier	1.3	1.5	5	6/15	9/15
FC 08 Homburg	1.9	1.6	1	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Eintracht Trier sit 10th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 2 matches) and FC 08 Homburg sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	FC 08 Homburg	3	2	0	1	5	5	6
10	Eintracht Trier	2	1	0	1	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg?: The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Eintracht Trier.
Where and when is Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg played?: Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg is played on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Moselstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.