FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 31Kick-off on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark, Walldorf
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for FC Astoria Walldorf. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Astoria Walldorf have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Astoria Walldorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 SGV Freiberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | SGV Freiberg 2-0 FC Astoria Walldorf | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 5, 2025 | FC Astoria Walldorf 1-3 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 17, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 2-1 FC Astoria Walldorf | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 16, 2024 | FC Astoria Walldorf 2-4 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 23, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 2-0 FC Astoria Walldorf | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Astoria Walldorf 1-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs FC Astoria Walldorf on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Astoria Walldorf score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Astoria Walldorf | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Astoria Walldorf sit 18th in Regionalliga - SudWest (1 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for FC Astoria Walldorf.
- Where and when is FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg played?
- FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg is played on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 4, 2027SV SandhausenvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- May 4, 2027VfR AalenvsStuttgarter Kickers
- May 4, 2027FSV FrankfurtvsTSV Steinbach
- May 4, 2027Eintracht TriervsFC 08 Homburg
- May 4, 2027Kickers OffenbachvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- May 4, 2027SSV Ulm 1846vsFreiburg II
- May 4, 2027Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsHessen Kassel
- May 4, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsVfR Mannheim