Match

FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 31Kick-off on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark, Walldorf

FC Astoria WalldorfSGV Freiberg

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for FC Astoria Walldorf. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg?

SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,857).

FC Astoria Walldorf win25 %
Draw21 %
SGV Freiberg win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Astoria Walldorf have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Astoria Walldorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)0-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026Kaiserslautern II(home)3-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026Stuttgart II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs
SGV Freiberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VfR Mannheim(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026FC 08 Homburg(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)5-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)1-6Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Astoria Walldorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 SGV Freiberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026SGV Freiberg 2-0 FC Astoria WalldorfRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 5, 2025FC Astoria Walldorf 1-3 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
May 17, 2025SGV Freiberg 2-1 FC Astoria WalldorfRegionalliga - SudWest
Nov 16, 2024FC Astoria Walldorf 2-4 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
Mar 23, 2024SGV Freiberg 2-0 FC Astoria WalldorfRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 16, 2023FC Astoria Walldorf 1-2 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs FC Astoria Walldorf on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Astoria Walldorf score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Astoria Walldorf1.52.1210/1511/15
SGV Freiberg1.72.149/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Astoria Walldorf sit 18th in Regionalliga - SudWest (1 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SGV Freiberg3210807
18FC Astoria Walldorf3012481

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg?
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for FC Astoria Walldorf.
Where and when is FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg played?
FC Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg is played on May 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Astoria Walldorf and SGV Freiberg

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