SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hessen Kassel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Donaustadion, Ulm
The Footlab model makes Hessen Kassel the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hessen Kassel?
Hessen Kassel starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,946 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Ulm 1846 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hessen Kassel have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Lippstadt 08(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SSV Ulm 1846 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hessen Kassel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Hessen Kassel 0-2 SSV Ulm 1846 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 15, 2022 | SSV Ulm 1846 3-0 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Hessen Kassel 0-0 SSV Ulm 1846 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 19, 2021 | SSV Ulm 1846 2-1 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Hessen Kassel 3-1 SSV Ulm 1846 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Dec 19, 2020 | SSV Ulm 1846 1-2 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846 on Apr 22, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hessen Kassel | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th in Regionalliga - SudWest (1 points from 3 matches) and Hessen Kassel sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hessen Kassel?
- The Footlab model makes Hessen Kassel the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for SSV Ulm 1846.
- Where and when is SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hessen Kassel played?
- SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hessen Kassel is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Donaustadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027FSV FrankfurtvsVfR Aalen
- Apr 10, 2027FC Astoria WalldorfvsEintracht Trier
- Apr 10, 2027Kickers OffenbachvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Apr 10, 2027TSV SteinbachvsSGV Freiberg
- Apr 10, 2027Freiburg IIvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Apr 10, 2027Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsFC 08 Homburg
- Apr 10, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsSV Sandhausen
- Apr 10, 2027VfR MannheimvsEintracht Frankfurt II