Where and when is Freiburg II vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?

Freiburg II vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dreisamstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Freiburg II vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dreisamstadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

Freiburg II

FSV Mainz 05 II

The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Freiburg II vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Freiburg II (1,917) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).

Freiburg II win43 %

Draw23 %

FSV Mainz 05 II win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freiburg II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Freiburg II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stuttgarter Kickers(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026	Hessen Kassel(home)	5-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026	VfR Aalen(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 25, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	FC Schaffhausen(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

FSV Mainz 05 II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026	Kreuzlingen(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Freiburg II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	FSV Mainz 05 II 0-4 Freiburg II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Nov 16, 2025	Freiburg II 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
May 17, 2025	Freiburg II 1-3 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Nov 16, 2024	FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 Freiburg II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Feb 28, 2021	Freiburg II 3-1 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 19, 2020	FSV Mainz 05 II 2-6 Freiburg II	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Freiburg II	2.5	1.7	3	11/15	13/15
FSV Mainz 05 II	1.4	1.4	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Freiburg II sit 5th in Regionalliga - SudWest (5 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Freiburg II	3	1	2	0	8	4	5
13	FSV Mainz 05 II	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Freiburg II vs FSV Mainz 05 II?: The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
Where and when is Freiburg II vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?: Freiburg II vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dreisamstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.