Match

TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, Haiger

TSV SteinbachSGV Freiberg

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for TSV Steinbach. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate TSV Steinbach (1,965) and SGV Freiberg (2,029).

TSV Steinbach win31 %
Draw22 %
SGV Freiberg win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Steinbach have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TSV Steinbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026VfR Aalen(home)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026SV Sandhausen(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 31, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(home)2-8Friendlies Clubs
SGV Freiberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VfR Mannheim(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026FC 08 Homburg(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)5-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)1-6Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 TSV Steinbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SGV Freiberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026SGV Freiberg 1-3 TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Oct 11, 2025TSV Steinbach 1-1 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
Nov 30, 2024SGV Freiberg 4-0 TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Aug 3, 2024TSV Steinbach 0-2 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
May 4, 2024SGV Freiberg 1-1 TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Oct 28, 2023TSV Steinbach 0-1 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TSV Steinbach2.51.949/1511/15
SGV Freiberg1.72.149/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TSV Steinbach sit 9th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SGV Freiberg3210807
9TSV Steinbach3030333

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg?
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for TSV Steinbach.
Where and when is TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg played?
TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: TSV Steinbach and SGV Freiberg

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