TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, Haiger
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for TSV Steinbach. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate TSV Steinbach (1,965) and SGV Freiberg (2,029).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Steinbach have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfR Aalen(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(home) | 2-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 TSV Steinbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SGV Freiberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | SGV Freiberg 1-3 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 11, 2025 | TSV Steinbach 1-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 30, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 4-0 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 3, 2024 | TSV Steinbach 0-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 4, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 1-1 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 28, 2023 | TSV Steinbach 0-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Steinbach | 2.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV Steinbach sit 9th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for TSV Steinbach.
- Where and when is TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg played?
- TSV Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027FSV FrankfurtvsVfR Aalen
- Apr 10, 2027FC Astoria WalldorfvsEintracht Trier
- Apr 10, 2027Kickers OffenbachvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Apr 10, 2027SSV Ulm 1846vsHessen Kassel
- Apr 10, 2027Freiburg IIvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Apr 10, 2027Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsFC 08 Homburg
- Apr 10, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsSV Sandhausen
- Apr 10, 2027VfR MannheimvsEintracht Frankfurt II