SSVg Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 13Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSVg Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate SSVg Velbert (1,811) and Fortuna Düsseldorf II (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SW Essen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| May 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Homberg(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 SSVg Velbert win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Fortuna Düsseldorf II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | SSVg Velbert 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-1 SSVg Velbert | Regionalliga - West |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SSVg Velbert 0-5 Fortuna Düsseldorf II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 SSVg Velbert | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf II score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSVg Velbert | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSVg Velbert sit 1st in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf II sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSVg Velbert | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for SSVg Velbert.
- Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II played?
- SSVg Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II is played on November 13, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsWuppertaler SV
- Nov 15, 2026SF BaumbergvsHolzheimer SG
- Nov 15, 2026SW EssenvsBW Dingden
- Nov 15, 2026SonsbeckvsBüderich
- Nov 15, 2026MeerbuschvsSchonnebeck
- Nov 15, 2026ScherpenbergvsSC St. Tönis
- Nov 15, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsMonheim
- Nov 15, 2026Solingen-WaldvsGermania Ratingen