SW Essen vs BW Dingden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 13Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab AI model makes BW Dingden the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-1. If BW Dingden wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs BW Dingden?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate SW Essen (1,720) and BW Dingden (1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SW Essen vs BW Dingden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SW Essen
Not enough data to predict the SW Essen lineup.
BW Dingden
Not enough data to predict the BW Dingden lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; BW Dingden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SW Essen win, 0 draws, 1 BW Dingden win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | BW Dingden 3-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 16, 2025 | SW Essen 2-0 BW Dingden | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: BW Dingden vs SW Essen on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.2 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; BW Dingden score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| BW Dingden | 1.5 | 1.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 15th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 8 matches) and BW Dingden sit 9th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | BW Dingden | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| 15 | SW Essen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
A question about SW Essen vs BW Dingden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs BW Dingden?
- The Footlab AI model makes BW Dingden the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs BW Dingden played?
- SW Essen vs BW Dingden is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 2026SSVg VelbertvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Nov 14, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsWuppertaler SV
- Nov 15, 2026SonsbeckvsBüderich
- Nov 15, 2026SF BaumbergvsHolzheimer SG
- Nov 15, 2026MeerbuschvsSchonnebeck
- Nov 15, 2026ScherpenbergvsSC St. Tönis
- Nov 15, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsMonheim
- Nov 15, 2026Solingen-WaldvsGermania Ratingen