SW Essen vs BW Dingden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 13Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab model makes BW Dingden the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs BW Dingden?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate SW Essen (1,736) and BW Dingden (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; BW Dingden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Union Frintrop(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Homberg(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SW Essen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 BW Dingden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | BW Dingden 3-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 16, 2025 | SW Essen 2-0 BW Dingden | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: BW Dingden vs SW Essen on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; BW Dingden score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| BW Dingden | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 18th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and BW Dingden sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BW Dingden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs BW Dingden?
- The Footlab model makes BW Dingden the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs BW Dingden played?
- SW Essen vs BW Dingden is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 2026SSVg VelbertvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Nov 14, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsWuppertaler SV
- Nov 15, 2026SonsbeckvsBüderich
- Nov 15, 2026SF BaumbergvsHolzheimer SG
- Nov 15, 2026MeerbuschvsSchonnebeck
- Nov 15, 2026ScherpenbergvsSC St. Tönis
- Nov 15, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsMonheim
- Nov 15, 2026Solingen-WaldvsGermania Ratingen