SSVg Velbert vs Schonnebeck: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 3Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert
The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSVg Velbert vs Schonnebeck?
Schonnebeck starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Schonnebeck have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SW Essen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| May 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 30, 2026 | Homberg(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SSVg Velbert win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Schonnebeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Schonnebeck 2-3 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 23, 2024 | SSVg Velbert 1-1 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SSVg Velbert 4-0 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Schonnebeck 0-1 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 21, 2022 | Schonnebeck 3-3 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 11, 2022 | SSVg Velbert 1-0 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: Schonnebeck vs SSVg Velbert on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Schonnebeck score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSVg Velbert | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Schonnebeck | 3.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSVg Velbert sit 1st in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 2 matches) and Schonnebeck sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSVg Velbert | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Schonnebeck | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs Schonnebeck?
- The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for SSVg Velbert.
- Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs Schonnebeck played?
- SSVg Velbert vs Schonnebeck is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsSolingen-Wald
- Aug 28, 2026BW DingdenvsGermania Ratingen
- Aug 30, 2026SF BaumbergvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Aug 30, 2026SW EssenvsSonsbeck
- Aug 30, 2026ScherpenbergvsMeerbusch
- Aug 30, 2026SC St. TönisvsMonheim
- Aug 30, 2026BüderichvsWuppertaler SV
- Sep 4, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsScherpenberg