St. Lucia vs Aruba: result 3-2 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations League - QualificationGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on March 22, 2019 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound
Full time
What was the result of St. Lucia vs Aruba?
St. Lucia won 3-2 on March 22, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 38′J. MacFarlaneSt. Lucia
- 53′J. JohnAruba
- 62′J. MacFarlaneSt. Lucia
- 67′L. JosephSt. Lucia
- 90′Joshua Emilio Gross SantanaAruba
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Lucia have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Aruba have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2018 | Cayman Islands(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Oct 17, 2018 | Haiti(home) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Antigua and Barbuda(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Jun 30, 2017 | Grenada(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 28, 2017 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | Montserrat(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Oct 17, 2018 | Guadeloupe(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Bermuda(home) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2016 | St. Kitts and Nevis(home) | 0-2 | Caribbean Cup |
| Mar 23, 2016 | Antigua and Barbuda(away) | 1-2 | Caribbean Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
St. Lucia score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aruba score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucia | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Aruba | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2019British Virgin Islands2-2Turks and Caicos Islands
- Mar 21, 2019St. Vincent / Grenadines2-1Bonaire
- Mar 22, 2019Anguilla0-3US Virgin Islands
- Mar 22, 2019Cayman Islands1-2Montserrat
- Mar 23, 2019Dominica4-0Bahamas
- Mar 23, 2019Sint Maarten4-3Saint Martin
- Mar 23, 2019Antigua and Barbuda2-1Curaçao
- Mar 23, 2019Suriname2-0St. Kitts and Nevis