VfB Lübeck vs HSC Hannover: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for HSC Hannover. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Lübeck vs HSC Hannover?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate VfB Lübeck (1,896) and HSC Hannover (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; HSC Hannover have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Bersenbrück(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 VfB Lübeck win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 HSC Hannover win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | HSC Hannover 1-0 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 12, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 1-2 HSC Hannover | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 7, 2020 | VfB Lübeck 2-1 HSC Hannover | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 1, 2019 | HSC Hannover 1-2 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: HSC Hannover vs VfB Lübeck on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; HSC Hannover score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| HSC Hannover | 2.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Lübeck sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (2 points from 4 matches) and HSC Hannover sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HSC Hannover | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs HSC Hannover?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for HSC Hannover.
- Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs HSC Hannover played?
- VfB Lübeck vs HSC Hannover is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsSchöningen
- Sep 12, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsHamburger SV II
- Sep 12, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Sep 12, 2026St. Pauli IIvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Sep 12, 2026VfB OldenburgvsHannover 96 II
- Sep 12, 2026Kickers EmdenvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Sep 12, 2026TodesfeldevsBremer SV
- Sep 12, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsPhönix Lübeck