Stabæk II vs Flekkerøy: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nadderud Kunstgress, Bekkestua
The Footlab model makes Stabæk II the favourite at 45%, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Flekkerøy. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stabæk II vs Flekkerøy?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Stabæk II (1,552) and Flekkerøy (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stabæk II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Flekkerøy have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Varhaug(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Våg(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Brodd(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Viking II(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brodd(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hinna(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Haugesund II(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Madla(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Stabæk II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Flekkerøy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Flekkerøy 6-0 Stabæk II | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
Last archived meeting: Flekkerøy vs Stabæk II on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stabæk II score 2.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Flekkerøy score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stabæk II | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Flekkerøy | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stabæk II sit 9th in 3. Division - Girone 4 (20 points from 16 matches) and Flekkerøy sit 3rd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 29 |
| 9 | Stabæk II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stabæk II vs Flekkerøy?
- The Footlab model makes Stabæk II the favourite at 45%, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Flekkerøy.
- Where and when is Stabæk II vs Flekkerøy played?
- Stabæk II vs Flekkerøy is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nadderud Kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.