Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
The Footlab model makes Stade Lausanne-Ouchy the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Neuchatel Xamax FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (1,857) and Neuchatel Xamax FC (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Neuchatel Xamax FC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Italien(away) | 8-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 0-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 3-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Neuchatel Xamax FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 1-2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| May 15, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 3-0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3-0 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 0-2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Neuchatel Xamax FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy sit 1st in Challenge League (10 points from 4 matches) and Neuchatel Xamax FC sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Lausanne-Ouchy the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Neuchatel Xamax FC.
- Where and when is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC played?
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.