Stade Tunisien vs CS Hammam-Lif: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Hédi-Enneifer, Le Bardo
The Footlab model makes Stade Tunisien the favourite at 53%, against 31% for a draw and 17% for CS Hammam-Lif. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Tunisien vs CS Hammam-Lif?
Stade Tunisien starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Tunisien have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; CS Hammam-Lif have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | AS Gabes(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 25, 2026 | AS Kasserine(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Menzel Bourguiba(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stade Tunisien win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 CS Hammam-Lif win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2020 | CS Hammam-Lif 0-2 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 28, 2019 | Stade Tunisien 2-0 CS Hammam-Lif | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 15, 2019 | CS Hammam-Lif 3-1 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Stade Tunisien 1-0 CS Hammam-Lif | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 12, 2016 | CS Hammam-Lif 2-0 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 6, 2016 | Stade Tunisien 0-1 CS Hammam-Lif | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: CS Hammam-Lif vs Stade Tunisien on Sep 13, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Tunisien score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; CS Hammam-Lif score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Tunisien | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| CS Hammam-Lif | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Stade Tunisien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Tunisien vs CS Hammam-Lif?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Tunisien the favourite at 53%, against 31% for a draw and 17% for CS Hammam-Lif.
- Where and when is Stade Tunisien vs CS Hammam-Lif played?
- Stade Tunisien vs CS Hammam-Lif is played on December 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Hédi-Enneifer, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.