ES Zarzis vs AS Marsa: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Abdessalem Kazouz, Zarzis
The Footlab AI model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for AS Marsa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs AS Marsa?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate ES Zarzis (1,746) and AS Marsa (1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Zarzis vs AS Marsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Zarzis
4-2-1-3- 9K. Sowe
- 7O. Hamdi
- 10H. Jertila
- 17D. Nyengue
- 26Y. El Kassah
- 20M. Smaali
- 29Pape Toure
- 25J. Belkilani
- 30Sadok Touj
- 35Hazem Mounadi
- 22S. Charfi
AS Marsa
4-2-3-1- 10M. Hamrouni
- 6K. Khalfa
- 28A. Ben Hamida
- 8A. Guesmi
- 15R. Gneba
- 27M. Khaloui
- 2M. Chaouch
- 5O. Bahri
- 17O. Jebali
- 34M. Kechiche
- 16C. H. Ben
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Zarzis have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; AS Marsa have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Réal Bamako(home) | 1-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Diambars(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 ES Zarzis wins, 0 draws, 1 AS Marsa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | AS Marsa 1-0 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: AS Marsa vs ES Zarzis on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Zarzis score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AS Marsa score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| AS Marsa | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Zarzis sit 12th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 5 matches) and AS Marsa sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AS Marsa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | ES Zarzis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
A question about ES Zarzis vs AS Marsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Zarzis vs AS Marsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for AS Marsa.
- Where and when is ES Zarzis vs AS Marsa played?
- ES Zarzis vs AS Marsa is played on December 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Abdessalem Kazouz, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.