ES Hammam-Sousse vs Olympique Béja: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipale Bou Ali-Lahouar, Hammam-Sousse
The Footlab model makes ES Hammam-Sousse the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for Olympique Béja. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs Olympique Béja?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate ES Hammam-Sousse (1,732) and Olympique Béja (1,687).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Hammam-Sousse have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Olympique Béja have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Sfax Railways(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 ES Hammam-Sousse win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Olympique Béja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2022 | Olympique Béja 0-0 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2022 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-0 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
| May 6, 2012 | Olympique Béja 1-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 18, 2011 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-1 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olympique Béja vs ES Hammam-Sousse on May 26, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
ES Hammam-Sousse score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olympique Béja score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Olympique Béja | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Hammam-Sousse sit 7th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Olympique Béja sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Olympique Béja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Olympique Béja?
- The Footlab model makes ES Hammam-Sousse the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for Olympique Béja.
- Where and when is ES Hammam-Sousse vs Olympique Béja played?
- ES Hammam-Sousse vs Olympique Béja is played on December 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipale Bou Ali-Lahouar, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.