Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs ES Tunis: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal Sakiet Eddaier, Sakiet Eddaïer
The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs ES Tunis?
ES Tunis starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,814).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs ES Tunis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
4-2-3-1- 9M. Omri
- 22M. Laajili
- 7H. Ben Ameur
- 25F. Ajroudi
- 10L. Bouraoui
- HH. Montassar
- 2A. Ba
- 5B. I. Bationo
- 34H. Rebaii
- 21A. Wassim
- 44A. Chouaya
ES Tunis
4-3-3- 7I. Faraj
- 27H. Mastouri
- 11Y. Belaïli
- 8H. Rafia
- 16J. Castillo
- 21A. Konaté
- 25R. Chikhaoui
- 12N. Laifi
- 13M. Dräger
- 6H. Jelassi
- 32B. Ben Saïd
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; ES Tunis have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; ES Tunis score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 2.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| ES Tunis | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (11 points from 5 matches) and ES Tunis sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
A question about Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs ES Tunis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs ES Tunis?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.
- Where and when is Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs ES Tunis played?
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs ES Tunis is played on December 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal Sakiet Eddaier, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.