Stal Brzeg vs Miedź Legnica II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg
The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Miedź Legnica II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Miedź Legnica II?
Miedź Legnica II starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Miedź Legnica II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stal Brzeg win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Miedź Legnica II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Miedź Legnica II 3-1 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Stal Brzeg 1-2 Miedź Legnica II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Stal Brzeg 1-1 Miedź Legnica II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Miedź Legnica II 6-1 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Miedź Legnica II 0-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Stal Brzeg 2-4 Miedź Legnica II | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Miedź Legnica II vs Stal Brzeg on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Miedź Legnica II score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Miedź Legnica II | 2.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Miedź Legnica II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Miedź Legnica II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Miedź Legnica II?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Miedź Legnica II.
- Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Miedź Legnica II played?
- Stal Brzeg vs Miedź Legnica II is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Stilon GorzówvsWarta Gorzów
- Sep 5, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Sep 5, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsCarina Gubin
- Sep 5, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsSłowianin
- Sep 5, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsKluczbork
- Sep 5, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsROW Rybnik
- Sep 5, 2026Sparta KatowicevsSKRA Częstochowa
- Sep 5, 2026Barycz SułówvsZaglebie Sosnowiec