Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II 1-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-2 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-3 Zagłębie Lubin II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Zagłębie Lubin II 0-3 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-3 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Zagłębie Lubin II 4-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (11 points from 5 matches) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
- The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
- Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?
- Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Stal BrzegvsMiedź Legnica II
- Sep 5, 2026Stilon GorzówvsWarta Gorzów
- Sep 5, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsCarina Gubin
- Sep 5, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsSłowianin
- Sep 5, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsKluczbork
- Sep 5, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsROW Rybnik
- Sep 5, 2026Sparta KatowicevsSKRA Częstochowa
- Sep 5, 2026Barycz SułówvsZaglebie Sosnowiec