Barycz Sułów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Barycz Sułów (1,756) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barycz Sułów | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barycz Sułów sit 4th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
- The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
- Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?
- Barycz Sułów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Stal BrzegvsMiedź Legnica II
- Sep 5, 2026Stilon GorzówvsWarta Gorzów
- Sep 5, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Sep 5, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsCarina Gubin
- Sep 5, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsSłowianin
- Sep 5, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsKluczbork
- Sep 5, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsROW Rybnik
- Sep 5, 2026Sparta KatowicevsSKRA Częstochowa