Stilon Gorzów vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stilon Gorzów vs Warta Gorzów?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Stilon Gorzów (1,722) and Warta Gorzów (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stilon Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stilon Gorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Warta Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Warta Gorzów 2-0 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Stilon Gorzów 2-3 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 11, 2024 | Warta Gorzów 1-1 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Stilon Gorzów 0-2 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Warta Gorzów 2-0 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Stilon Gorzów 1-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Stilon Gorzów on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stilon Gorzów sit 11th in III Liga - Group 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stilon Gorzów vs Warta Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Warta Gorzów.
- Where and when is Stilon Gorzów vs Warta Gorzów played?
- Stilon Gorzów vs Warta Gorzów is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Stal BrzegvsMiedź Legnica II
- Sep 5, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Sep 5, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsCarina Gubin
- Sep 5, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsSłowianin
- Sep 5, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsKluczbork
- Sep 5, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsROW Rybnik
- Sep 5, 2026Sparta KatowicevsSKRA Częstochowa
- Sep 5, 2026Barycz SułówvsZaglebie Sosnowiec