Stal Brzeg vs Stilon Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg
The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stilon Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Stilon Gorzów?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Stal Brzeg (1,629) and Stilon Gorzów (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stilon Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Stal Brzeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Stilon Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Stilon Gorzów 1-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Stal Brzeg 0-2 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Stilon Gorzów 2-5 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Stal Brzeg 0-2 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Stilon Gorzów sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Stilon Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stilon Gorzów.
- Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Stilon Gorzów played?
- Stal Brzeg vs Stilon Gorzów is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 22, 2027KluczborkvsROW Rybnik
- May 22, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- May 22, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- May 22, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsZagłębie Lubin II
- May 22, 2027Warta GorzówvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- May 22, 2027Sparta KatowicevsGórnik Polkowice
- May 22, 2027SłowianinvsCarina Gubin