Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
- Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?
- Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsBarycz Sułów
- May 22, 2027Stal BrzegvsStilon Gorzów
- May 22, 2027KluczborkvsROW Rybnik
- May 22, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- May 22, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- May 22, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsZagłębie Lubin II
- May 22, 2027Sparta KatowicevsGórnik Polkowice
- May 22, 2027SłowianinvsCarina Gubin