Match

Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Warta GorzówZaglebie Sosnowiec

The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,711).

Warta Gorzów win52 %
Draw24 %
Zaglebie Sosnowiec win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Górnik Polkowice(home)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Carina Gubin(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-5III Liga - Group 3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carina Gubin(away)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026Tychy 71(away)0-1Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Gorzów0.91.467/157/15
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.21.556/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zaglebie Sosnowiec531110510
10Warta Gorzów5221688

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?
Warta Gorzów vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warta Gorzów and Zaglebie Sosnowiec

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