Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Polkowice played?

Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Polkowice is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice

Sparta Katowice

Górnik Polkowice

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Górnik Polkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Polkowice?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Sparta Katowice (1,833) and Górnik Polkowice (1,840).

Sparta Katowice win50 %

Draw24 %

Górnik Polkowice win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Stilon Gorzów(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3

Górnik Polkowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Rakow II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sparta Katowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Górnik Polkowice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 13, 2026	Górnik Polkowice 0-4 Sparta Katowice	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 27, 2025	Sparta Katowice 2-0 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice on Mar 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sparta Katowice	1.9	0.9	6	8/15	9/15
Górnik Polkowice	2.3	2.1	3	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Sparta Katowice	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
9	Górnik Polkowice	5	2	2	1	11	10	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Polkowice?: The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Górnik Polkowice.
Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Polkowice played?: Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Polkowice is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.