Standard Liege vs Antwerp: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Antwerp?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Standard Liege (1,905) and Antwerp (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Antwerp have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Standard Liege win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Antwerp win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Antwerp 0-5 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Standard Liege 1-2 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Antwerp 1-1 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-0 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Standard Liege 0-0 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Antwerp 3-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Antwerp vs Standard Liege on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liege score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Antwerp score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Antwerp | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Standard Liege sit 11th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 2 matches) and Antwerp sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Antwerp | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Standard Liege | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs Antwerp?
- The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Standard Liege.
- Where and when is Standard Liege vs Antwerp played?
- Standard Liege vs Antwerp is played on September 5, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.