St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for RAAL La Louvière. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
St. Truiden starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,989 vs 1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; RAAL La Louvière have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Liège(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 St. Truiden win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 RAAL La Louvière win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière 1-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | St. Truiden 2-1 RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: RAAL La Louvière vs St. Truiden on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Truiden score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; RAAL La Louvière score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| RAAL La Louvière | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Truiden sit 12th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 2 matches) and RAAL La Louvière sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louvière | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
- The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for RAAL La Louvière.
- Where and when is St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière played?
- St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière is played on September 5, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.