KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden: result 4-3 and analysis
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
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What was the result of KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
KV Mechelen won 4-3 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 24′K. TakaiKV Mechelen (o.g.)
- 34′S. MichezKV Mechelen
- 39′S. TaniguchiKV Mechelen (o.g.)
- 44′S. BaždarSt. Truiden
- 49′I. SebaouiSt. Truiden
- 62′B. RamanKV Mechelen
- 71′F. Soelle SoelleSt. Truiden
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a St. Truiden win at 43%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
KV Mechelen
3-4-2-1- 28Bouke Boersma
- 9M. van Brederode
- 14B. Raman
- 7T. Koudou
- 30Marco Decherf
- 6F. Hammar
- 23S. Michez
- 3José Marsà
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 20K. Corbanie
- 13Nacho Mirás
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 71R. Araki
- 38K. Matsuzawa
- 8A. Sissako
- 14R. Merlen
- 3T. Hata
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 4K. Takai
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 16L. Kokubo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; St. Truiden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 4-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 KV Mechelen wins, 1 draw, 5 St. Truiden wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | St. Truiden 3-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | KV Mechelen 1-4 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | St. Truiden 1-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-3 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 8, 2024 | St. Truiden 2-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 11th in Jupiler Pro League (12 points from 11 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 11 |
A question about KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy