Zulte Waregem vs Gent: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elindus Arena, Waregem
The Footlab model makes Gent the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Zulte Waregem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zulte Waregem vs Gent?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Zulte Waregem (1,983) and Gent (1,981).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zulte Waregem have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Gent have 4, 10 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Genk(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zulte Waregem win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Gent win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Gent 2-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Zulte Waregem 4-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Gent 0-2 Zulte Waregem | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Gent 4-2 Zulte Waregem | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Zulte Waregem 2-6 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Gent 2-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Gent vs Zulte Waregem on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zulte Waregem score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte Waregem | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Gent | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zulte Waregem sit 2nd in Jupiler Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and Gent sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zulte Waregem vs Gent?
- The Footlab model makes Gent the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Zulte Waregem.
- Where and when is Zulte Waregem vs Gent played?
- Zulte Waregem vs Gent is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elindus Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.