Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Union St. Gilloise is a heavy favourite: 2,279 Elo points against 1,866, a 413-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union St. Gilloise
3-4-1-2- 9M. Biondic
- 38R. Mofokeng
- 27L. Patris
- 23B. Zeneli
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
- 6K. Van de Perre
- 8A. Zorgane
- 29M. Sylla
- 80O. Kričfaluši
- 55N. Havenaar
- 12H. Koffi
OH Leuven
3-4-3- 8S. Schrijvers
- 9A. Traoré
- 18R. Mirisola
- 27Óscar Gil
- 6W. George
- 4B. Verstraete
- 99D. Opoku
- 3N. Dussenne
- 5J. Lawrence
- 34R. Nyakossi
- 1D. van den Heuvel
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union St. Gilloise have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; OH Leuven have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 5-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Union St. Gilloise wins, 2 draws, 0 OH Leuven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | OH Leuven 0-0 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 5-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 1-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | OH Leuven 1-1 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OH Leuven 0-2 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Union St. Gilloise 5-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: OH Leuven vs Union St. Gilloise on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union St. Gilloise score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union St. Gilloise sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (19 points from 7 matches) and OH Leuven sit 15th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 19 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven played?
- Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Joseph Mariën, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.