Standard Liege vs Lommel United: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueMatchday 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
The Footlab AI model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Lommel United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Standard Liege wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,794 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Lommel United?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Standard Liege (2,039) and Lommel United (2,032).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Standard Liege vs Lommel United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Standard Liege
4-2-3-1- 10D. Eckert Ayensa
- 22A. Trouillet
- 11A. Abid
- 15S. Drammeh
- 84R. Touzghar
- 80R. Fosso
- 20I. Karamoko
- 25I. Hautekiet
- 3G. Mortensen
- 18H. Lawrence
- 1M. Epolo
Lommel United
4-2-3-1- 9Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
- 15L. Schoofs
- 11S. Appuah
- 6J. Pelupessy
- 41S. Nypan
- 7J. Talvitie
- 4S. Adewoye
- 2J. van Duiven
- 3T. Eyoma
- 47T. Gooijer
- 23Matthias Pieklak
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lommel United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 6, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dender(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gent(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Standard Liege win, 0 draws, 0 Lommel United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2019 | Standard Liege 2-1 Lommel United | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs Lommel United on Sep 26, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liege score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lommel United score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lommel United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Standard Liege sit 8th in Jupiler Pro League (15 points from 11 matches) and Lommel United sit 6th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lommel United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Standard Liege vs Lommel United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs Lommel United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Lommel United.
- Where and when is Standard Liege vs Lommel United played?
- Standard Liege vs Lommel United is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.