KV Mechelen vs Antwerp: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Antwerp?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate KV Mechelen (1,887) and Antwerp (1,953).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Antwerp have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Genk(home) | 4-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KV Mechelen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Antwerp win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | KV Mechelen 2-0 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Antwerp 2-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | KV Mechelen 1-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Antwerp 0-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Antwerp 2-1 KV Mechelen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Antwerp 0-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Antwerp on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Antwerp score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Antwerp | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and Antwerp sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Antwerp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Antwerp?
- The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Antwerp played?
- KV Mechelen vs Antwerp is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.