Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Zulte Waregem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Charleroi (1,987) and Zulte Waregem (1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleroi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Zulte Waregem have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Genk(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Charleroi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Zulte Waregem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Zulte Waregem 1-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Charleroi 1-2 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Charleroi 2-0 Zulte Waregem | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Charleroi 3-2 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Zulte Waregem 1-3 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Zulte Waregem 1-1 Charleroi | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charleroi score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zulte Waregem score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Zulte Waregem | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charleroi sit 2nd in Jupiler Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and Zulte Waregem sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem?
- The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Zulte Waregem.
- Where and when is Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem played?
- Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.