Gent vs Genk: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Planet Group Arena, Gent
The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Genk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gent wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gent vs Genk?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Gent (2,101) and Genk (2,089).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gent vs Genk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gent
3-4-2-1- 11M. Sonko
- 20Tiago Araújo
- 17M. Delorge-Knieper
- 22Leonardo Lopes
- 45B. Goore
- 27T. De Vlieger
- 57M. Volckaert
- 16C. Burgess
- 44S. Van der Heyden
- 5M. Ngom
- 33D. Roef
Genk
4-3-3- 17R. Durosinmi
- 10J. Ito
- 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
- 8B. Heynen
- 4B. Tahirović
- 38D. Heymans
- 20K. Amaro
- 18J. Kayembe
- 44J. Kongolo
- 6M. Smets
- 28L. Kiaba Mounganga
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gent have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Genk have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gent wins, 3 draws, 3 Genk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Genk 1-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 31, 2026 | Gent 0-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Genk 3-0 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Gent 1-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 18, 2025 | Gent 1-4 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Genk 4-0 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gent score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Genk | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gent sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (22 points from 8 matches) and Genk sit 7th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Gent vs Genk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gent vs Genk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Genk.
- Where and when is Gent vs Genk played?
- Gent vs Genk is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Planet Group Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.