Match

Stanway Rovers vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex

Stanway RoversLeatherhead

The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Stanway Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Leatherhead?

Leatherhead starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,723).

Stanway Rovers win28 %
Draw24 %
Leatherhead win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stanway Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Welling United(away)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Ramsgate(home)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Cheshunt(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Heybridge Swifts(away)5-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Leatherhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(home)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Welling United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Ramsgate(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stanway Rovers1.51.567/159/15
Leatherhead1.91.2411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Leatherhead4211987
21Stanway Rovers4013291

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Leatherhead?
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Stanway Rovers.
Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Leatherhead played?
Stanway Rovers vs Leatherhead is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stanway Rovers and Leatherhead

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