Whitehawk vs Stanway Rovers: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Enclosed Ground, Brighton, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Stanway Rovers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitehawk vs Stanway Rovers?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Whitehawk (1,657) and Stanway Rovers (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitehawk have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Stanway Rovers have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Heybridge Swifts(away) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
How many goals should we expect?
Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitehawk | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Stanway Rovers | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitehawk sit 19th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Stanway Rovers sit 21st (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Whitehawk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitehawk vs Stanway Rovers?
- The Footlab model makes Stanway Rovers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Whitehawk.
- Where and when is Whitehawk vs Stanway Rovers played?
- Whitehawk vs Stanway Rovers is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Enclosed Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 16, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsDartford
- Jan 16, 2027AveleyvsRamsgate
- Jan 16, 2027Brentwood TownvsThree Bridges
- Jan 16, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsChatham Town
- Jan 16, 2027WhyteleafevsEnfield Town
- Jan 16, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsWingate & Finchley
- Jan 16, 2027CheshuntvsCarshalton Athletic