Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fetcham Grove, Leatherhead, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cray Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Leatherhead (1,859) and Cray Wanderers (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leatherhead have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Leatherhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cray Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | Leatherhead 2-1 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Cray Wanderers 0-0 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Cray Wanderers 0-1 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers on Apr 2, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leatherhead | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leatherhead sit 8th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leatherhead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cray Wanderers.
- Where and when is Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers played?
- Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fetcham Grove, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsDartford
- Jan 16, 2027WhitehawkvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 16, 2027AveleyvsRamsgate
- Jan 16, 2027Brentwood TownvsThree Bridges
- Jan 16, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsChatham Town
- Jan 16, 2027WhyteleafevsEnfield Town
- Jan 16, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsWingate & Finchley
- Jan 16, 2027CheshuntvsCarshalton Athletic