Match

Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fetcham Grove, Leatherhead, Surrey

LeatherheadCray Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cray Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Leatherhead (1,859) and Cray Wanderers (1,821).

Leatherhead win46 %
Draw24 %
Cray Wanderers win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leatherhead have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leatherhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(home)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Welling United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Ramsgate(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Cray Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Cheshunt(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Wingate & Finchley(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 14, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Leatherhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cray Wanderers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2022Leatherhead 2-1 Cray WanderersNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 19, 2022Cray Wanderers 0-0 LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian
Dec 26, 2019Cray Wanderers 0-1 LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers on Apr 2, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leatherhead1.91.2411/158/15
Cray Wanderers1.91.5411/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leatherhead sit 8th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Leatherhead4211987
15Cray Wanderers4121445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cray Wanderers.
Where and when is Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers played?
Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fetcham Grove, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Leatherhead and Cray Wanderers

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