Match

Stanway Rovers vs Maldon & Tiptree: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex

Stanway RoversMaldon & Tiptree

The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Stanway Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Maldon & Tiptree?

Maldon & Tiptree starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,868 vs 1,727).

Stanway Rovers win27 %
Draw24 %
Maldon & Tiptree win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Maldon & Tiptree have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stanway Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Welling United(away)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Ramsgate(home)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Cheshunt(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Heybridge Swifts(away)5-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Maldon & Tiptree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leatherhead(away)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Dartford(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Aveley(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-6Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Walthamstow(away)2-3Non League Div One - Isthmian North

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Stanway Rovers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maldon & Tiptree win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Stanway Rovers 1-0 Maldon & TiptreeNon League Div One - Isthmian North
Oct 4, 2025Maldon & Tiptree 3-0 Stanway RoversNon League Div One - Isthmian North
Sep 13, 2025Maldon & Tiptree 2-0 Stanway RoversFA Cup
Aug 6, 2024Maldon & Tiptree 1-2 Stanway RoversFA Cup
Aug 3, 2024Stanway Rovers 0-0 Maldon & TiptreeFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Stanway Rovers vs Maldon & Tiptree on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stanway Rovers1.51.567/159/15
Maldon & Tiptree1.91.368/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Maldon & Tiptree4202696
21Stanway Rovers4013291

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Maldon & Tiptree?
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Stanway Rovers.
Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Maldon & Tiptree played?
Stanway Rovers vs Maldon & Tiptree is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stanway Rovers and Maldon & Tiptree

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