Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice
The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
Star Starachowice starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Star Starachowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 3-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Star Starachowice 1-0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-3 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Star Starachowice 1-0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
- The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
- Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów played?
- Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsNaprzód
- Oct 31, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Oct 31, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsMoravia Morawica
- Oct 31, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsKSZO 1929
- Oct 31, 2026JarosławvsCzarni Połaniec
- Oct 31, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsHetman Zamosc
- Oct 31, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsWisła Kraków II
- Oct 31, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsChełmianka Chełm