Match

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg

Siarka TarnobrzegNaprzód

The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,714) and Naprzód (1,688).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win48 %
Draw24 %
Naprzód win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sokół Kolb.(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Jarosław(home)1-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Busko-Zdroj(away)4-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Hetman Zamosc(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Naprzód
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Naprzód win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Naprzód 0-0 Siarka TarnobrzegIII Liga - Group 4
Oct 4, 2025Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4-0 NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1.42.0111/158/15
Naprzód1.51.827/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Naprzód52039136
16Siarka Tarnobrzeg5113684

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód?
The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Naprzód.
Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód played?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Naprzód

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