Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg
The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,714) and Naprzód (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Naprzód win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Naprzód 0-0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4-0 Naprzód | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód?
- The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Naprzód.
- Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód played?
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Naprzód is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Oct 31, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsMoravia Morawica
- Oct 31, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsKSZO 1929
- Oct 31, 2026JarosławvsCzarni Połaniec
- Oct 31, 2026Star StarachowicevsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Oct 31, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsHetman Zamosc
- Oct 31, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsWisła Kraków II
- Oct 31, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsChełmianka Chełm