Sokół Kolb. vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, Kolbuszowa Dolna
The Footlab model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sokół Kolb. vs Hetman Zamosc?
Sokół Kolb. starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,713 vs 1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokół Kolb. have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sokół Kolb. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Hetman Zamosc | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sokół Kolb. sit 13th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sokół Kolb. vs Hetman Zamosc?
- The Footlab model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hetman Zamosc.
- Where and when is Sokół Kolb. vs Hetman Zamosc played?
- Sokół Kolb. vs Hetman Zamosc is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsNaprzód
- Oct 31, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Oct 31, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsMoravia Morawica
- Oct 31, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsKSZO 1929
- Oct 31, 2026JarosławvsCzarni Połaniec
- Oct 31, 2026Star StarachowicevsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Oct 31, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsWisła Kraków II
- Oct 31, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsChełmianka Chełm