Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
The Footlab AI model makes Stenhousemuir the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arbroath. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stenhousemuir wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
Stenhousemuir starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stenhousemuir
3-4-3- 20G. Stevenson
- 11L. O'Donnell
- 36L. Lloyd
- 2R. Meechan
- 17M. Anderson
- 10A. Shinnie
- 14K. Bilham
- 5S. Young
- 19S. Bright
- 24L. Grant
- 1D. Jamieson
Arbroath
4-2-3-1- 9A. Winter
- 20S. Constable
- 25J. MacIntyre
- 11R. Dow
- 14M. McKenna
- 8R. Flynn
- 26S. Mackie
- 16C. Watson
- 22C. Dewar
- 6T. Beadling
- 1A. McAdams
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stenhousemuir have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Arbroath have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Morton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Stenhousemuir wins, 0 draws, 2 Arbroath wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stenhousemuir 1-0 Arbroath | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Arbroath 4-0 Stenhousemuir | League One |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Stenhousemuir 2-0 Arbroath | League One |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Arbroath 1-0 Stenhousemuir | League One |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Stenhousemuir 2-1 Arbroath | League One |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Arbroath 0-2 Stenhousemuir | League One |
Last archived meeting: Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stenhousemuir score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arbroath score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Arbroath | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stenhousemuir sit 1st in Championship (22 points from 9 matches) and Arbroath sit 8th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stenhousemuir the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arbroath.
- Where and when is Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath played?
- Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ochilview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.