Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
The Footlab AI model makes Stenhousemuir the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Dunfermline. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stenhousemuir wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Stenhousemuir (1,792) and Dunfermline (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stenhousemuir
3-4-3- 20G. Stevenson
- 11L. O'Donnell
- 36L. Lloyd
- 2R. Meechan
- 17M. Anderson
- 10A. Shinnie
- 14K. Bilham
- 5S. Young
- 19S. Bright
- 24L. Grant
- 1D. Jamieson
Dunfermline
3-4-3- 26A. Tod
- 99O. Adams
- 33J. Cooper
- 47R. Fraser
- 14A. Amade
- 24D. Lobban
- 19Allan Oyirwoth
- 6N. Abdulai
- 15S. Harding
- 25A. Donnelly
- 1A. Oxborough
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stenhousemuir have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Dunfermline have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stenhousemuir wins, 0 draws, 6 Dunfermline wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Dunfermline 3-0 Stenhousemuir | FA Cup |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Dunfermline 4-1 Stenhousemuir | League Cup |
| Mar 5, 2016 | Dunfermline 5-0 Stenhousemuir | League One |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Stenhousemuir 0-3 Dunfermline | League One |
| Dec 19, 2015 | Dunfermline 1-0 Stenhousemuir | League One |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Stenhousemuir 0-5 Dunfermline | League One |
Last archived meeting: Dunfermline vs Stenhousemuir on Jan 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stenhousemuir score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dunfermline score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Dunfermline | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stenhousemuir sit 1st in Championship (22 points from 9 matches) and Dunfermline sit 5th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stenhousemuir the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Dunfermline.
- Where and when is Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline played?
- Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ochilview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.