Livingston vs Ayr Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston
The Footlab model makes Livingston the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ayr Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Livingston (1,826) and Ayr Utd (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livingston have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ayr Utd have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 8-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 4-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Livingston win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Livingston 5-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Livingston | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Livingston 0-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Livingston | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Livingston 2-0 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Livingston 4-0 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Livingston vs Ayr Utd on Apr 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Livingston score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston | 1.8 | 1.0 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livingston sit 4th in Championship (6 points from 3 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Livingston | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Livingston the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ayr Utd.
- Where and when is Livingston vs Ayr Utd played?
- Livingston vs Ayr Utd is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Macaroni Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.