Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stenhousemuir have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Dunfermline have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stenhousemuir wins, 0 draws, 6 Dunfermline wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Dunfermline 3-0 Stenhousemuir | FA Cup |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Dunfermline 4-1 Stenhousemuir | League Cup |
| Mar 5, 2016 | Dunfermline 5-0 Stenhousemuir | League One |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Stenhousemuir 0-3 Dunfermline | League One |
| Dec 19, 2015 | Dunfermline 1-0 Stenhousemuir | League One |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Stenhousemuir 0-5 Dunfermline | League One |
Last archived meeting: Dunfermline vs Stenhousemuir on Jan 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stenhousemuir score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dunfermline score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 1.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Dunfermline | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stenhousemuir sit 1st in Championship (22 points from 9 matches) and Dunfermline sit 5th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy