Stevenage vs Barnsley: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stevenage wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Barnsley?
Stevenage starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stevenage vs Barnsley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stevenage
3-4-1-2- 9J. Magennis
- 18O. Sanderson
- 8D. Phillips
- 10D. Kemp
- 14S. Earley
- 24M. Smith
- 25Wanya Marçal
- 5C. Piergianni
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 15T. Vancooten
- 1T. Setford
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 17Amani Richards
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 11T. Noslin
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Barnsley have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 3-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Stevenage wins, 0 draws, 1 Barnsley win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Barnsley 1-5 Stevenage | League One |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Stevenage 1-0 Barnsley | League One |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Barnsley 3-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Barnsley 0-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Stevenage 3-0 Barnsley | League One |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Stevenage 2-1 Barnsley | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barnsley score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Barnsley | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 9th in League One (12 points from 8 matches) and Barnsley sit 19th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Stevenage vs Barnsley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Barnsley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Barnsley played?
- Stevenage vs Barnsley is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.