Stevenage vs Cambridge United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Cambridge United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stevenage wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Cambridge United?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,907) and Cambridge United (1,960).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stevenage vs Cambridge United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stevenage
4-4-1-1- 9J. Magennis
- 8D. Phillips
- 10D. Kemp
- 18O. Sanderson
- 24M. Smith
- 25Wanya Marçal
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 5C. Piergianni
- 15T. Vancooten
- 14S. Earley
- 1T. Setford
Cambridge United
3-4-2-1- 14G. Yahyai
- 17P. Mpanzu
- 10B. Knight
- 7Isaac Heath
- 4D. Ball
- 2L. Bennett
- 8O. Moxon
- 6K. Watts
- 22Z. Bradshaw
- 3Callum Perry
- 1J. Eastwood
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cambridge United have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Stevenage wins, 0 draws, 1 Cambridge United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Cambridge United 0-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge United | League One |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge United | League One |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Cambridge United 1-2 Stevenage | League One |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge United | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Cambridge United 0-1 Stevenage | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Cambridge United vs Stevenage on Mar 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cambridge United score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cambridge United | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 12th in League One (12 points from 9 matches) and Cambridge United sit 5th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cambridge United | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Stevenage vs Cambridge United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Cambridge United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Cambridge United.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Cambridge United played?
- Stevenage vs Cambridge United is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.