Stevenage vs Walsall: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 2Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Walsall. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Walsall?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,831) and Walsall (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Walsall have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stevenage win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Walsall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | Stevenage 1-2 Walsall | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Stevenage 3-1 Walsall | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Walsall 1-1 Stevenage | League Two |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Stevenage 3-1 Walsall | League Two |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Walsall 1-0 Stevenage | League Two |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Stevenage 1-1 Walsall | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Walsall score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Walsall | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 1st in EFL Trophy (9 points from 3 matches) and Walsall sit 2nd (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevenage | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Walsall?
- The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Walsall.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Walsall played?
- Stevenage vs Walsall is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.